The Bears remain an overrated team as evidenced by their 4-12 ATS mark since the arrival of Marc Trestman. They can only blame themselves for their disappointing home loss in their opener in overtime 23-20 at the hands of the lowly Buffalo Bills. Defense was an issue a year ago for the Bears. Allowing a limited Bills offense to rack up 360 yards and score 23 points is not going to cut it in this game. The Bears head on the road against a much more competent San Francisco team in a brand new stadium. The Niners opened a 28-3 lead against Dallas last week, coasting to a 28-17 win. I don't think they showed much of the playbook because they didn't have to. The Niners may not have shown much offensively, but they didn't have to, and the Bears defense is suspect. Looking back to last season the Niners posted 32 or more points in half their regular season home games, and should get near that tonight. Under Jim Harbaugh, the 49ers are 36-19 against the number including 28-15 as a favorite. The crowd and home-team players should be sky-high for this game. Back the Niners to expose Chicago further, and win big here. The Bears' defense coughs up mega points on the road, leading to a 12-3 mark to the OVER in their last 15. And San Francisco posted a 9-3 mark to the OVER in their last 12 vs. a losing team. Play San Francisco and the OVER.
This pick was released to clients on September 11, 2014 at 12:54PM ET.
NFL
Chicago at San Francisco
September 14, 2014
8:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on San Francisco -6.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 47.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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