Chicago at Green Bay

The Green Bay Packers have something that most teams wished they had - an elite quarterback. Aaron Rodgers makes all the difference with this team, as we saw what happened when they went without him a season ago. He has thrown just three INTs on the season, two of which were last week. But, both were off a player and intercepted by another and not bad passes. He simply does not turn the ball over as he has the lowest INT rate of any QB in NFL history, and we all know what turnovers mean to covering and winning. The same can't be said of Jay Cutler and the Bears, who have had multiple turnovers in four of their last five games, and thus have gone 1-4 in the stretch. Cutler owns a 1-9 record vs. Green Bay, throwing 13 TD passes to 19 INTs. That doesn't bode well if your a Bears' fan, and neither does the 32 points per game the Bears have allowed in their last five. The Bears are last in the league in defensive yards per attempt, allowing 8.71. Overall on the season, the Bears have allowed 27.7 points per game and it's getting worse as the season progresses. Rodgers has had a history of exploiting much better Bears' secondaries than this as he has 18 TDs to four INTs in the last seven meetings. Over the past two and a half seasons, Chicago is just 3-11 ATS vs. the best offensive teams (teams like GB that average 24+ points per game). They are also 2-11 ATS over that span vs. division opponents who know how to stop Cutler. At home this season, Green Bay is winning by 20 points per game. Green Bay rolls.