Chicago at Dallas

Dallas as a home favorite has been one of the worst bets in football in recent years. Unfortunately for Dallas fans, that is likely to continue with the Cowboys favored by at least a touchdown in this matchup. Since 2012, Dallas is 5-17 ATS in that role and Chicago probably will start Brian Hoyer instead of injured Jay Cutler and Hoyer has been the better of the two this season. Hoyer completed 9-of-12 passes for 78 yards against Philadelphia on Monday night. Last year he helped the Houston Texans make the playoffs when he threw for 2,606 yards with a 60.7 percent completion rate in 11 games. The Bears have covered the spread in six of their last eight road games and the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS after an ATS win dating to last season. Dallas was actually outyarded in last week's win at Washington and the Redskins averaged 4.8 yards per rush. Kirk Cousins was 28-of-46 for 364 yards with one interception for the Redskins. Rookie Dak Prescott was impressive in completing 22-of-30 for 292 yards in his first road start, but the Cowboys still are 1-10 ATS as home favorites of at least seven points under Jason Garrett. Chicago has gone OVER the total in 22 of its last 32 road games and these teams have gone OVER the last five times they've met. The points loom large in this matchup, play the Bears and take the OVER.