Chicago at Cleveland

The Chicago Bears needed a big Monday night win at home against Dallas, and delivered it to get themselves even with the Lions at 7-6 atop the NFC North. The problem that they have faced all season is on defense. The Bears have allowed 20 points or more to all 13 teams they have faced this season, and have scored 20 or more in 11 of 13, and never less than 18. The Browns were generating little early in the season, but over their last five games they have produced 21.8 points per game. The biggest problem here is the 31.8 ppg they have allowed over their last four, and an improving Bears' offense is ready to exploit what appears to be a worn down Browns' stop unit. The Bears own a 23-6 OVER mark after gaining 350+ yards in their previous game. This one gets over the top, so take the OVER.