This pick was released to clients on August 13, 2012 at 2:18PM ET.
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Chicago at Carolina

December 22, 2002
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A game with no playoff implications – must be the NFC.

Neither team has much to play for here so I’ll keep the analysis short and to the point. My power ratings give Chicago a slight edge but I like this game primarily because Carolina qualifies for two negative situational angles that have been very successful this year and last:

Small-to-medium home favorites giving up a lot of points their last two games are just 6-17 the last two years ATS (38-74 overall) and home favorites having lost 80% or more of their last ten games are 1-4 (11-28 overall) ATS.

Admittedly this pick is pretty one-dimensional so if you aren’t a big fan of situational angles, you might chose to lay off this pick. In any case, I am going with Chicago.

4 units on Chicago +3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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