Chicago at Arizona

Chicago is winless on the road and takes a long trip to Arizona. They also have a short week, coming off a Monday night game against Seattle. The Bears are 3-8 ATS when following a straight-up win, as well as 6-16-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 90 rushing yards in their previous game. 24-year-old quarterback Mitch Trubisky still has a long ways to go, tossing a pair of interceptions, and failing to connect on deep balls with several open receivers and was often too eager to bolt from the pocket. Yet, here they are a good-sized road favorite. The Bears are also 17-4 OVER the total when following a Monday night appearance, as well as 95-68 OVER as a favorite. Arizona ran into the overpowering Rams defense last week, but face a Chicago defense that is #18 in passing yards allowed. The Cardinals are 15-6-1 ATS after allowing 250+ yards passing in their previous game, plus 43-22 ATS at home after two or more straight losses. Unlike recent years, they have a reliable veteran QB in Sam Bradford, who has thrown more TDs than picks. They've simplified the offense for this week, too. The Cardinals are 40-16 OVER the total after gaining less than 250 total yards the previous contest, as well as 35-16 OVER after getting less than 150 yards passing the previous game. NFL teams scoring nine or fewer points in two straight games are 37-11 ATS that next game. Playing their second home game in three weeks, back the home dog in a game featuring more scoring than oddsmakers expect. Play Arizona and take OVER.