Carolina at Tampa Bay

Carolina, off of an 18-10 loss at New Orleans as a touchdown underdog, plays hard for this coaching staff. They also won at Arizona, 34-10, as a +7 dog and at Atlanta, 19-13, as a dog. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS as a road underdog and 40-22 ATS revenging a home loss to the same opponent. Carolina is a big underdog again, but they have a chance due to their defense. This Panthers D is second in the NFL in total yards allowed and against the pass, which is what Tampa Bay prefers to do. The defense is also No. 10 on third down, and the team is 26-12 ATS after scoring 14 or fewer in two straight contests. Tampa Bay hasn't been dominant down the stretch with a 28-24 comeback win against the Jets last week as a 14-point favorite and a 9-0 loss to New Orleans three weeks ago as double-digit chalk. The Bucs are 23-40 ATS against offenses that average 5.7 or fewer passing yards per attempt while the Panthers have covered six of the last eight at Tampa Bay. Play Carolina. Also take the OVER here. The Bucs have averaged 32.1 points per game in this building and have scored 28+ in all but one of their last seven games. While I think Tampa Bay could take their foot off the gas here, this total is very low for a team that scores like they do. Back Carolina and the OVER