Carolina at St. Louis

The Rams have won three games already this season, already outperforming their win total from a year ago. Bettors have suddently embraced this team, with nearly 80% on them this week. I won't be among them. I like where this Panthers team is headed. We were on Carolina last week as the Panthers got their first win and I think they come into this one beaming with confidence. They played the Super Bowl winning Saints to within 2 points on the road. Matt Moore somewhat came into his own last week, passing for over 300 yards and two TDs, and the Carolina offense appears to be revived. This is a St. Louis team that is improved, but is still young, and more than capable of losing to anyone in the NFL as they proved by dropping their game to the Lions by 38 points. The Panthers have been picking up the cash as a road dog of 3 or less where they are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18. Under John Fox, this team is 41-27 ATS as an underdog including 31-18 ATS as a road dog. Their offense appears ready to step up and I like the Panthers to notch their second straight win, or at least keep this game close. I also like the OVER. Carolina has played OVER to a 5-1 mark as a dog of 3 or less. The Rams have shown the ability to score at a rate much higher than a year ago, where they reached 20 just twice, having done so three times this season. I expect more scoring here than this low number. Carolina covers and the total finishes OVER.