Carolina at New York

Carolina's bubble has burst, losing three straight, including a 21-18 loss to the Eagles as a favorite. The Panthers are still without star offensive force Christian McCaffrey, while new QB Sam Darnold looks like the old Sam Darnold with the Jets, throwing 4 TDs and 6 picks over the last three games with 12 sacks. Carolina is 7-17 ATS against losing teams and 5-12-1 ATS as a road favorite. The Giants play their second straight home game, and New York has been saddled with a difficult schedule with games against the Rams, Saints, Cowboys, and Broncos. They upset those Saints, 27-21, as a +7 dog as QB Daniel Jones threw for 402 yards. The Giants are 48-30 ATS after gaining 99 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games, and NFL favorites like Carolina that just played a game with a negative-two turnover margin or worse are 58-102 ATS. Play New York.