Carolina at Miami

Carolina is a huge underdog but NFL dogs that are outscored on average by double-digits are 90-46 ATS after allowing 40+ points. The last two times Carolina was a double-digit dog they covered in a 13-3 loss at Baltimore and won straight up over Tampa Bay, 21-3, as a +13 dog (both last season). The Panthers are 11-2 ATS after giving up 40+ points and 78-51 ATS versus defenses that surrender 24+ points per contest. After dazzling the NFL with 70 points against Denver, Miami's offense has come back to earth averaging 25.5 points in the last two games. And NFL favorites like the Dolphins are 9-30 ATS after topping 450 total yards of offense in three straight contests. Play Carolina.