Carolina at Dallas

The undefeated Carolina Panthers are a dog here... hmmm. They beat two NFC East opponents (Philadelphia and Washington) by a combined 39 points and bring the third-highest scoring offense in the league into a stretch of four of five on the road beginning with Dallas. The Panthers are for real and they are now 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a losing home record. Dallas QB Tony Romo's return brought a lot of optimism to the Cowboys’ sideline, but the fact is he was shaky last week in Miami. The bumbling Dolphins lost the game more than Dallas won it. And now Romo and company must face a Panthers defense that has allowed just 16.2 points per game on the road. Carolina is fourth in the NFL in rushing, third in points scored, on a 6-2-1 run OVER the total, as well as 7-1 OVER versus the NFC. Meanwhile, Dallas is 23-8-3 OVER the total after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Since the arrival of Ron Rivera, the Panthers are 20-9 ATS vs. losing teams including 15-4 ATS vs. teams at .400 or worse andd 21-11 ATS vs. poor defensive teams like Dallas (teams allowing 5.7+ yards per play). Meanwhile, under Jason Garrett, the Cowboys are 15-27 ATS in home games. Play Carolina and the OVER.