Carolina at Atlanta

The Atlanta Falcons cruised through the regular season all the way to a disappointing loss in the Super Bowl last year. The offense carried the team, averaging well into the 30s. This season the offense just has never gotten on track. The Falcons average is below the NFL average this year at just 22 points per game. The good news is that the Falcons' defense has gone from well below average to above average at 20 points per game allowed. Atlanta has to win to get a shot at the playoffs, and Carolina allows just 20 points per game themselves. Both of these teams offer more on the defensive end, and the first meeting this season produced just 37 total points. Home favorites in Week 17 have played decidedly UNDER the total at 150-16-6 to the UNDER. Home favorites in division games in the NFL South are 76-46-1 to the UNDER as well. Take the UNDER.