Carolina at Arizona

Running the football chews up yards and the clock, and both teams will look to run. Carolina will run because star RB Christian McCaffrey came back last week and looked good. They'll also focus on running because the team can't pass, stuck with QB Sam Darnold (7 TDs, 11 INTS), who looks worse each week. Carolina (7-2 UNDER the total) has scored 28 total points in the last three games. While Carolina is on a 10-3 run UNDER, three of Arizona's four home games have gone UNDER. QB Kyler Murray, RB James Conner, and RB Chase Edmonds lead the ninth-ranked rushing attack in the NFL (fourth-best in the NFC), while the Cardinals' defense is No. 4 in yards allowed, No. 3 in points surrendered (17.2 pg), and No. 2 on third-down (31.73%). And winning NFL teams like Arizona that come off a division win are 32-11 UNDER the total against losing teams. Play the UNDER.