This pick was released to clients on October 09, 2015 at 1:34PM ET.
img NFL

Buffalo at Tennessee

October 11, 2015
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Buffalo Bills were slated to be a strong defensive team, but things unraveled vs. Tom Brady and the Patriots, as they were hit with a 40 spot. Tennessee has not allowed a lot of yards, but poor field position, and a lot of big plays have done a lot of damage as they rank #22 in the league in points allowed per game at 25.7. Both of these teams have been better than average offensively, due to the fact that Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota has figured things out a lot quicker than expected, and Tyrod Taylor has matured into a dangerous duel-threat QB. The Titans are ninth, and the Bills are #13 in yards produced per game, and both have been well above average offensively, playing to a rather low total in this one. In his coaching career, Rex Ryan's teams are 16-5 to the OVER on the road in the first-half of the season. These teams have shown a propensity to push the scoreboard with four of the last five meetings playing OVER the total, and I expect more of the same here. Take the OVER.

1.5 units on Game Total OVER 41.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Buffalo Bills img
0
0
7
7
14
Tennessee Titans
0
3
7
3
13
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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