Buffalo at Philadelphia

The Eagles are patting themselves on the back after an improbable 35-28 win at New England last week. However, they were outgained nearly two-to-one as the offense had just 248 total yards. It was a game the Patriots gave away more than the Eagles won. The Patriots had 427 yards and 28 points, which means Philadelphia is on a 1-3 SU/ATS run allowing 28, 45, 45 and 20 points, with the offense tallying 19, 17 and 14 during a three-game skid. Philadelphia has a losing record at home and is on a 2-5 ATS run here, as well as 2-8 ATS on grass. The Eagles offense will struggle against the talented Buffalo defense with Philly at 6-0 UNDER the total after a straight-up win. Buffalo is on a 3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS run with a strong defensive front for Rex Ryan. The Buffalo offense likes to run, a conservative attack that looks to control the clock and keep scoring down. They put up 390 yards on Houston last week, but the UNDER is 36-17 after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, plus 10-4 UNDER after allowing more than 350 total yards. Buffalo will be able to move the ball on a Philadelphia defense that is #27 in the NFL against the run allowing 124.7 yards per game, plus #25 in points allowed (25.2 per game). When these teams clash the Bills are 4-1 ATS and the dog is 4-1 ATS. Philadelphia is also 5-2 UNDER the total on natural grass, plus 37-16 UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, so grab the visitors in a defensive battle. Take Buffalo and the UNDER.