Buffalo at New York

Is a 1-6 team really favored here? Over the last quarter century, there have only been 10 instances of a team this bad after three weeks giving points to a winning opponent. The Jets won their opener, but have lost six games in a row. One problem is a defense that has allowed 24 points or more in each of the losses, while the offense has reached as many as 25 just one time all season. You don't have to be a math wizard to figure out why they are losing. New York just played a big game against their biggest rival, New England, and really spent a lot of emotional and physical energy in that game. So, I don't know how much is left in the tank here. Despite the "excitement" around acquiring Percy Harvin, the Jets season is essentially already over before the mid-way mark of the year. After a good start, Buffalo had lost three of four. They needed a win last week and eked one out 17-16 vs. Minnesota. There's nothing that can infuse a team like a win, and that leaves the Bills in pretty good shape at 4-3. Yes, the Bills are without their top two running backs but they weren't going to get a lot on the ground vs. the Jets anyway, and today's NFL is more about passing than running. The truth is, good running backs in today's NFL are a dime-a-dozen and Bryce Brown and Anthony Dixon will likely fill the role just fine. And oh yeah - as far as I know, Sammy Watkins will still be on the field Sunday. Buffalo has gone 7-1 ATS after allowing greater than 150 yards rushing in their previous game as the defense makes a stand. The Jets, on the other hand, are 0-6-1 ATS after laying it all out in their previous game, holding their opponent to less than 90 yards rushing. The Jets will pay the price for last week and as hard as they played it will be tough to get it going after yet another loss. Buffalo in this one.