Buffalo at New Orleans

For the last several years, the New Orleans Saints have had the reputation of being a powerful offensive team, and they have been. They also had one of the worst defenses last year, allowing over 30 points per game. This is a changed team, however, one that has held five of six opponents to 18 points or less. Great offenses can score 30+ points. That is something this Saints team did eight times a year ago, and 12 times the season before that. But, they have done so just twice this season. While Buffalo has both scored and allowed 20 points in every game this season, five of their seven games would have fallen shy of this total. Since the arrival of Sean Payton in the Bayou, the Saints are 8-1 UNDER at home after scoring 25+ points in three straight games. The Saints are still drawing high totals, but their defense is better and the offense isn't scoring at the same rate this year. This one stays UNDER the total.