Buffalo at New England

New England won the first meeting 25-6 on Oct. 29 and it went UNDER by 13.5 points and four of the last six meetings between these two teams have stayed UNDER. The Patriots were in better form then than they are now as they have lost two in a row while being favored in each game. They have now gone UNDER in six of their last seven games. The Patriots were plagued by penalties while losing to Pittsburgh, which was uncharacteristic of a Bill Belichick-coached team that was coming off a loss at Miami. That's a bad sign for New England coming into this game favored by nearly two touchdowns and Buffalo comes into Foxboro following a win over Detroit. Josh Allen threw a 42-yard touchdown pass to Robert Foster early in the fourth quarter for the game-winning score against the Lions, who were held to 208 passing yards. The Patriots have gone UNDER in six in a row when following a loss and the Bills are 5-1 UNDER over their last six road games. Also, the Pats are 8-2 UNDER their last 10 December games and 6-1 UNDER their last seven versus teams with losing records. Surprisingly, Buffalo has the second-ranked defense in the league (292.2 yards per game). Look for the Bills to come in within the point spread and also go with the UNDER.