Buffalo at New England

This is a low posted total and deservedly so as it matches two of the top three defenses in the NFL with New England allowing opponents 12.9 points compared to 15.9 for the Bills. Buffalo would have to win its last two games while the Patriots lose their last two for the Bills to win the division and playoff seeding also comes into play in this one. Josh Allen has been just adequate enough for the Bills to pull out some wins while depending on their great stop-unit to hold opponents in check. Tom Brady has not been nearly as sharp as he has been in his storied career, but the 42-year-old also has been hampered by a lack of quality receivers and it won't get better now that Juilan Edelman is not close to 100 percent healthy with a gimpy knee. Buffalo is 11-3 UNDER and New England is 9-5 UNDER and the Bills have stayed UNDER in four straight when following a win. The UNDER is 20-7 in the Bills' last 27 road games and 20-8 UNDER their last 28 games overall. The Patriots are 18-8 UNDER their last 26 games overall and 8-3 UNDER their last 11 home games and 11-4 UNDER their last 15 December games. In addition, four of the last five meetings have gone UNDER. Play the UNDER.