Buffalo had a whirlwind week, flying to Detroit to play the Browns in Week 11 and then the Lions on Thanksgiving. The Bills did what they needed to do to win both games straight-up and now the Bills have had a week to recover as they face the Patriots, who they have beaten four of the past five meetings including a 47-17 rout in last year's playoffs. Josh Allen threw for 253 yards and two touchdowns as the Bills pulled out a thrilling 28-25 victory over Detroit and he also ran for 78 yards on 10 carries. Tyler Bass won it with a 45-yard field goal with two seconds left and Buffalo won its sixth in eight games. New England had been playing good defense while winning three straight, but then it lost 33-26 to Minnesota with Kirk Cousins torching the Pats for 299 yards on 30 of 37 with three TDs. Mac Jones also had a good game finishing with a career-high 382 yards and two TDs, but he was let down by the Patriots' defense. Buffalo is 7-2 UNDER its past nine games and New England had stayed UNDER its three previous games. The Bills are 6-0 UNDER their past six road contests and the Patriots are 27-13 UNDER after an ATS loss. Look for New England to clamp down defensively, but not enough to get the win. Take the Bills on the moneyline and play the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on November 30, 2023 at 9:54AM ET.
NFL
Buffalo at New England
December 1, 2022
8:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Buffalo -186 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.54)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 44 -120 (risk 1.5 to return 2.75)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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