Buffalo at Minnesota

Buffalo is getting raked over the coals in the media, with many proclaiming this the worst team in the NFL. 0-16? Hold on here, it's only Week 3 and this point spread is through the roof. They scored 20 points last week against the Chargers as this young team improved in the second half. Buffalo's pass rush woke up as QB Philip Rivers was hurried significantly more over the final two quarters. Trent Murphy, Lorenzo Alexander and Jerry Hughes all got in the offensive backfield to harass Rivers, with Alexander and Hughes registering sacks. Hughes also had three quarterback hits. The Bills are 53-29 ATS after two or more consecutive spread losses. The secondary is the biggest concern this week, with Vontae Davis' abrupt retirement and Phillip Gaines elbow injury that kept him out of the second half. Buffalo's cornerback contingent is suddenly thin so look for Minnesota to attack them deep downfield. Buffalo is 16-7 OVER the total when following a straight-up loss, plus 11-5 OVER after a spread loss. Minnesota is a huge favorite but hasn't been dominant, off a tie with rival Green Bay and a close win over San Francisco. They have a tough two-game road trip on deck, at the Rams and defending champion Eagles. The Vikings are 95-67 OVER when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points, so back the huge dog in an offensive show. Play Buffalo and the OVER.