Buffalo at Miami

What a difference a week can make. While the believers in Buffalo were scarce last week when they hosted the Chargers, after the win the Bills are now officially on the radar. After beating San Diego in a game many thought they would lose, they are now 5-1 and getting a lot of media attention. Miami was getting attention after winning two straight versus New England and San Diego. But two losses later and they are now considered a bad team again. Many got burned last week backing the Dolphins and they are steering clear this week as nearly 70% of the betting public is on Buffalo here as a road favorite in a division game. I'm not buying it. While I faded Miami last week, I think they are the play this week. If this game were last week, Miami would be favored. Buffalo won last week, but they were inches away from defeat as Phillip Rivers threw a red-zone interception late in that game. I think Buffalo is a good team for sure, but not as good as their record would indicate. Their wins have come against Seattle, Jacksonville, Oakland, St. Louis and San Diego - teams that have a combined 11-20 record. Not a single one of those teams has a winning record! I think this line is out-of-whack. This is Buffalo's first division game and to be favored on the road in that type of matchup spells trouble. I'll take the live home dog.