This pick was released to clients on November 28, 2018 at 11:32PM ET.
img NFL

Buffalo at Miami

December 2, 2018
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Buffalo has won its last two games against the Jets and Jaguars, but the Bills still are underdogs this week even though Miami has lost four of its last five. The Dolphins squandered a 10-point lead and lost at Indianapolis 27-24 as nine-point underdogs. Ryan Tannehill had a decent day completing 17-of-25 for 204 yards with no interceptions and Miami rushed for 113 yards on 4.5 per carry. The Miami secondary is second in the league with 17 interceptions, including two against the Colts and the Dolphins have a plus-six turnover rate, which ties them for #7 in the NFL. Buffalo will go with rookie Josh Allen again and he was only 8-of-19 for 99 yards and a touchdown against the Jaguars and that includes one pass for 45 yards. Allen has more interceptions (five) than TD passes (three) and has a completion rate of 52.5 percent. The Bills have gone UNDER four of their last five road games and the Dolphins are 5-2 UNDER their last seven games following a loss. Also, Miami has stayed UNDER in their last four games versus AFC East teams. The edge goes to Miami in this matchup, so play the Dolphins on the moneyline and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Miami -190 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.29)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 40 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Buffalo Bills
0
6
3
8
17
Miami Dolphins img
7
7
0
7
21
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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