Buffalo at Los Angeles

Buffalo is in the role of underdog but has a winning record. The Bills come off a blowout loss to the Saints but are 9-2-1 ATS after getting fewer than 250 total yards in their previous game. They are a run-oriented, ball-control offense anchored by tailback LeSean McCoy. They will be able to run the pigskin against a Chargers' defense that has allowed the most rushing yards per game (117.7) and third-most yards per carry (4.69) to tailbacks this season. The L.A. Chargers are a mess, scoring 30 total points the last two games. Their new stadium is a joke and the team is on a 7-19 spread run at home. QB Philip Rivers is in concussion protocol and may not play, with backup Kellen Clemens taking reps this week. No matter who starts there is no ground game at #26 in rushing yards, and #23 in points scored (18.6 points per game). The Chargers are also 95-68 UNDER the total against winning teams. Bad teams with winning percentages between 25-40% in the role of favorite after covering the spread in two out of their last three games are 15-44 ATS when facing a winning team. Back the visitors in a defensive duel. Play Buffalo as my NFL November Game of the Month and also play the UNDER.