Buffalo at Kansas City

The NFL has sure turned upside down since a year ago. Out of eight conferences, seven are led by teams that did not make the playoffs last year. One of those teams is Kansas City, sitting at 4-2. The Bills aren't one of them. In fact, Buffalo is winless through their first six games. Last week's 42-20 win solidified the belief by many that this Chiefs team is for real. They are playing very well this year with the only losses coming to Indianapolis and Houston. But, even against good team, there are spots that jump out to fade them. This is one of them. Despite their 0-6 record, Buffalo has been very competitive vs. some good teams this season. They stayed within 8 points of New England, Baltimore and Miami. Last week they fought very hard vs. Baltimore, even coming back late in the game to force overtime. If not for a questionable fumble call in OT, Buffalo might have upset the Ravens. That speaks to their character and ability. The Bills have now gone 6-1 ATS on the road vs. a team with a winning home record in their last seven. As bad as they have been, they are a cover machine as they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Chiefs find themselves in a new role as a favorite, but covering just one of their last eight as a chalk. The last ten times they have lost 3+ straight games, they have posted a 9-1 ATS mark the next game out. I like Buffalo to cover this game.