Buffalo at Kansas City

Buffalo is a road dog again but the Bills are 3-1 away form home. They face a Kansas City offense that is mostly about running the football, but the Bills are strong up front, as we saw Monday night against New England, as they are #10 in the NFL against the run. Buffalo is 9-4-1 ATS against the AFC, 4-1 ATS on the road and 7-1 ATS after a defeat, and are a strong bounce-back team. Kansas City is home after a two-game road trip but the Chiefs are 1-2 at home. The Chiefs are off a terrific defensive game, but they are 1-6 ATS after allowing fewer than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Kansas City is also 3-1-1 OVER the total following a victory. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to Kansas City and this is a low NFL total with the weather very good Sunday in KC. Take Buffalo and the OVER.