img NFL

Buffalo at Kansas City

December 13, 2009
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This Buffalo team may not have enough players to finish the season as the injuries continue to mount. They already have eight players on IR and eight more on the injury report that are questionable or worse for Sunday's game. The Chiefs’ offense should get a boost as WR Dwayne Bowe returns from serving a suspension. The Chiefs beat the Steelers here, then fell flat the past two weeks. After two huge losses, I would expect this team to come out at home and bring it for this one, knowing that they have a good shot at a win here. They also have the memory of the Bills 54-point blitz on them here a year ago and that has left a bitter taste - something that doesn't dissipate quickly. For that reason, this has been a circled game for the Chiefs, if not officially, at least in the minds of the players who were embarrased last year. Believe it or not, the Chiefs outgained the Bills in that game! The Bills, injuries and all, are getting the bulk of the betting action, but I see a team in the Chiefs that seems to be able to rise up when needed. It’s hard to see Buffalo as interested as they were in the last two against division rivals the Jets and Dolphins. The Chiefs, as bad as they have been recently, have feasted on poor defenses. They are 8-1 ATS since last season vs. teams that allow 350+ yards per game (the Bills allow 360 per game). They are also 6-0 ATS over that span after allowing 25+ points in back-to-back games. Buffalo is a 4-8 team (2-5 on the road) that is scoring just 16.6 points per game and simply shouldn't be a near pick'em on the road. The Chiefs look for payback and I think they get it.

3 units on Kansas City +3 (-125) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Buffalo Bills img
7
3
3
3
16
Kansas City Chiefs
0
3
7
0
10
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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