This pick was released to clients on December 08, 2023 at 10:56AM ET.
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Buffalo at Kansas City

December 10, 2023
img4:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Buffalo has won two of the past three meetings at Kansas City and the loss was the Chiefs' miraculous comeback in the final seconds in the 2021-22 playoffs. The Bills come off a bye week after losing 37-34 to Philadelphia while the Chiefs come off a 27-19 home loss to Green Bay on Sunday night when Jordan Love outplayed Pat Mahomes by throwing for 267 yards and three TDs. The Chiefs have lost three of their past five games while averaging only 19.4 points and they are 6-2 UNDER their past eight games. Buffalo has stayed UNDER six of eight overall and four in a row following a loss. Kansas City is 6-1 UNDER after an ATS loss and 5-1 UNDER after yielding more than 350 total yards its previous game. The Bills are 22-7 ATS their past 29 games after totaling more than 150 yards rushing their previous game. Buffalo is 11-0-1 ATS as a conference road underdog of more than one point against a team that is coming off a straight-up favorite loss. The Bills have gone UNDER 10 of 13 road games and the Chiefs are 14-3 UNDER at home. Buffalo has had plenty of time to prepare for this matchup. Take the Bills and the UNDER.

1 unit on Buffalo +1.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 49.5 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Buffalo Bills img
7
7
3
3
20
Kansas City Chiefs
0
7
7
3
17
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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