Buffalo at Jacksonville

The Buffalo Bills have lost two straight games, and any thoughts of making the playoffs are pretty much behind them now. Through 13 games and 26 possibilities (one for each team), 21 times out of 26 the Bills and their opponents have scored 20 or more points. Jacksonville has mirrored Tampa Bay by starting 0-8, but have won four of their last five. After failing to score more than 20 points in their first eight games, Jacksonville has scored 29.5 points per game in their last two, and averaged 23ppg in their last five, so the change has come on the offensive side of the ball. Buffalo appeared tight in their last two games, but now that the pressure of making the playoffs is pretty much off, I look for them to air it out and play free. I think this is going to be a high-scoring game, and the after allowing 350 or more yards in their previous game, the Jags are 10-29-1 ATS, and more likely to come up short here. The Bills have bounced back off an offensive disaster, as they are 5-0 ATS after gaining less than 250 yards in their previous game. Jacksonville's new found offense has led to five of their last six going OVER the total, and Buffalo 9-3-1 to the OVER after scoring 14 points or less. The Bills are 4-1 ATS here in the last five meetings. Play on both Buffalo and the OVER in this one.