Baltimore at Seattle

The Seahawks have been one of the ugliest road teams in the NFL in recent years, going 3-13 over their last 16 roadies. They have lost most of those by 17 or more points. So when they get home they are often undervalued, and present a good option to back. While the road has not been kind, the Seahawks are more than adequate at home at 7-5 in their last 12 games and have been outscored by just 1 point per game in the stretch over the last two years. Over the past couple of seasons, the Seahawks are 6-0 ATS at home following back-to-back losses. This is a serious overlay. The Ravens are still living large in the public's eyes after their first four wins on the season came by a combined 90 points. That team has left the building and has been replaced by one that three weeks ago lost at Jacksonville outright as a 10 point favorite. In that game, Flacco and company didn't generate a first down until midway through the third quarter. The aforementioned 90-point margin in the first four wins has been replaced by 3-point margins in the last three. This hasn't been a good spot for the Ravens who are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 as a road favorite of 3.5-10, and they are also off a physical and emotional game vs. Pittsburgh. How can they be up for this game? Back Seattle in this one.