This pick was released to clients on October 06, 2023 at 12:32PM ET.
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Baltimore at Pittsburgh

October 6, 2019
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Baltimore defense was embarrassed in a 40-25 loss to the Browns as it allowed more than 500 yards and let Baker Mayfield pass for 342 yards. This week it gets a chance to bounce back against perennial rival Pittsburgh, which comes off a 27-3 Monday night win over rebuilding Cincinnati. The Steelers would have been 0-4 for the first time since 1968, but Mason Rudolph used mostly short passes to finish 24-of-28 for 229 yards and two touchdowns. Rudolph is averaging only 3.3 completed yards per pass attempt - second-lowest in the league, so the Baltimore defense can focus on Rudolph knowing he has yet to throw deep. Also, Lamar Jackson will present a different challenge for the Steelers' front four as Jackson obviously is a threat to run unlike Andy Dalton. Baltimore has gone OVER its last two games by an average of 13.5 points. The road team has covered the last five meetings and the Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS over the last five meetings at Pittsburgh. The OVER is also 12-5 in the Steelers' last 17 home games and the OVER is 13-6-2 the last 21 meetings at Heinz Field. Play the Ravens and the OVER.

1 unit on Baltimore -3 (-125) (risk 1 to return 1.8)
Result:
PUSH
1 unit on Game Total OVER 44 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
O
F
Baltimore Ravens img
10
7
0
6
3
26
Pittsburgh Steelers
7
6
7
3
0
23
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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