Baltimore at Miami

The Dolphins used the Wildcat offense to get to the playoffs. Starting with their game against New England, this offense caught many off guard and it led to more wins than expected this season. But, that integral part of their offense had no success against this Baltimore team when they met in Miami in week seven. The Wildcat offense became a Mildcat offense as the Ravens held the Dolphins to just five yards out of that formation. Consequently the Dolphins scored just 13 points, their lowest offensive output at home all season. Miami couldn't beat the Ravens with long plays, as Chad Pennington’s weak arm produced a 28 yard gain as their longest play. And, the Ravens run-stop unit suffocated the tandem running attack of Brown and Williams as they gained just 43 yards on 17 carries. The Ravens have never been known to be an offensive team, but that has changed considerably this year as they have put up 24.1 ppg (No. 11 in the league). Joe Flacco has certainly been the difference as he has thrown just three INTs since week 10, and that includes games against defensive minded Dallas, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. Willis McGhee rushed for over 100 yards in Miami and the Dolphins No. 17 ranked rushing defense should afford him similar numbers in this one. The Ravens offensive coordinator is Cam Cameron who was with the Dolphins in 2007, and it gives the Ravens an advantage here as it did in week seven, as he knows the Dolphins’ personnel and tendencies inside out. The Dolphins certainly have not shown much of a home-field advantage as they are just 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 at home. The Dolphins are a great story this year, but Cinderella's about to face midnight. I like the Ravens to duplicate their week seven performance and win this one by a TD+.