Baltimore at Miami

There are going to be a lot of AFC teams with a playoff-caliber record left out in the cold. We head into week 14 with 11 teams with a 7-5 record or better. A pair of 7-5 teams will take the field in Miami as the Baltimore Ravens, fresh off a hard to swallow 1-point loss in San Diego, try to get back on track. The loser here is going to see their playoff hopes diminish considerably. The Ravens have been consistent on offense, scoring 21 points or more in each of their last seven games. The Dolphins, however, have been up and down and have scored 16 points or less four times this season, including last week vs. the Jets. Baltimore has certainly shown the ability to rise to the occasion vs. a good team as they own an 11-4 ATS record in their last 15 games against a winning team. I think this Miami team is still a year away as they are a young and growing team, and may not be ready for a big game. The Dolphins are also just 2-6 ATS playing on a Sunday following a Monday Night affair as the short week has not done them well. The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in Miami in their last five, and have been the more consistent team. And, the Ravens are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 following a home upset loss. Take the points on Baltimore.