Baltimore at Green Bay

Baltimore was expected to have one of the best defenses in the NFL coming into the season with their combination of talent and depth. They are sixth in the league in yards allowed, and eighth in points (19 points per game). The Ravens are 8-3-2 ATS away against a team with a winning home record. Baltimore has an above-average coach in John Harbaugh, who is 40-28 ATS when the line is +3 to -3, as well as 57-39 ATS when his teams are playing on natural grass. They face a Green Bay team without star QB Aaron Rodgers and backup QB Brett Hundley (2 TDs, 4 INTs) hasn't been very good. The Packers offensive line has allowed 30 sacks for #28 in the NFL. Green Bay revamped the secondary in the offseason but the defense isn't much improved at #18 in points allowed, #24 in yards, and #20 against the pass. And home teams with a winning percentage of 51-60% are 37-77 ATS when facing a losing team. Take Baltimore.