Baltimore at Cleveland

The Cleveland Browns have struggled on offense for the most part, but their defense is amongst the elite in the NFL . What? Yes it's true - but somewhat hidden. The Browns are allowing just 4.8 yards per play to a schedule of teams averaging 5.6. That -0.8 difference is right at the top of the league. Baltimore was expected to be better offensively this season, but it has not been a good year for Joe Flacco, who has thrown as many interceptions this year as touchdowns. The Baltimore defense was expected to take a hit with the losses they suffered in the off-season, but the defense has been good and getting better. After giving up 49 points in their opener to Peyton Manning, the Ravens defense has allowed just 16.5 points per game! Cleveland's offense has managed just 15.6 per game over their last three and they have been held to 17 or less in six of their eight games this season. Both defenses are better here than the offense they will face. The Ravens are 6-1 to the UNDER in their last seven within the division, and the Browns 35-16-3 to the UNDER in their last 54 vs. a team with a losing record. The UNDER has prevailed in the last six meetings, including the last four in Cleveland. Go with the UNDER in this one.