Baltimore stunned the world, and the Steelers, by going with scrap-heap problem-child, QB Ryan Mallett last week in a big upset at home. However, that was against the NFL's #30 ranked pass defense. Now he has to head out on the road and face a Cincinnati defense that is dominant, #11 in yards allowed and #1 in points (17.5 points per game). Mallett doesn't have many tools to work with on offense in this injury-plagued 2015 season for Baltimore, ranked #23 in points scored. Baltimore is 20-7-1 UNDER the total after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Cincinnati has offensive concerns of its own, dropping two of its last three games with QB A.J. McCarron taking the snaps in place of quarterback Andy Dalton (thumb). McCarron (wrist) was limited in practice this week, but is expected to start. Cincinnati has scored a total of nine points in the second half of the last two contests. The weather will be chilly in Cincy on Sunday, 34 degrees, and the UNDER is 5-0 when the Bengals face a team with a losing record. Make that 6-0 UNDER after this defensive duel. Play the UNDER in this one.
This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
NFL
Baltimore at Cincinnati
January 3, 2016
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 41.5 -104 (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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