Baltimore at Cincinnati

The defending Super Bowl Champion Baltimore Ravens need help to get back in the playoffs. They needed to win last week, but were humiliated in a 41-7 loss to New England. This is obviously a much different team than last season, as the defense lost a lot of playmakers and leadership. And, the offense has just not gotten anything going all season. QB Joe Flacco was nearly flawless in the late season on the way to a Super Bowl win last season. However, this season he has more INTs than TD passes (18/19). I have him as one of the absolute worst rated quarterbacks of 2013. Couple that with Ray Rice averaging just 3.1 yards per carry, and the Ravens' offense has been a joke. And, it has been at its worst over the last two weeks in generating just 25 total points. Cincinnati has double incentive here, and all starters will be in to win it. They want to hurt Baltimore's chances, and also improve their own playoffs standing. The Bengals have been menacing at home where they are 7-0, and have won their last four here by a total of 103 points, or by 25.8 points per game. Cincinnati has scored 41 points or more in each of their last four home games, and against a Baltimore team struggling on offense, the path is clear for another big home win. In the Marvin Lewis era, this team knows how to carry momentum over from one game to another. Under Lewis, the Bengals are 23-12 ATS after a double-digit win and 22-12 ATS after scoring 30+ points last game.Lay the points and play on Cincinnati.