Atlanta's defense has been doing the job so far this season as it is ranked No. 4 in the NFL in total yards allowed, but the Falcons need more production from their offense and Desmond Ridder has to stop throwing it to the other team. Ridder threw three picks in Atlanta's 24-16 loss to Washington, but he did total 307 passing yards. The Falcons face another offensively-challenged team in Tampa Bay, which averages only 18.0 points per game and is No. 25 in total offense yards. The Buccaneers were outgained 380-251 while losing 20-6 to Detroit in Week 6 and Baker Mayfield completed just 19 of 37 for 206 yards with an interception and the Bucs had only 46 rushing yards on 16 carries. Tampa Bay's defense couldn't contain Jared Goff, who threw for 353 yards on 30 of 44. The Buccaneers are 5-15-1 ATS their past 21 games overall, 3-9-1 ATS as favorites and 2-10-1 ATS following an ATS loss. Also, Tampa Bay is 1-10 ATS before a Thursday game and 1-6 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than three points. Take the Falcons.
This pick was released to clients on October 20, 2023 at 9:26AM ET.
NFL
Atlanta at Tampa Bay
October 22, 2023
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Atlanta +2.5 (+100) (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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