Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Atlanta has a winning road record while Tampa Bay has a losing home mark. Atlanta has plenty of talent on offense and faces a Buccaneers' defense that is #14 against the pass and #25 in points allowed. The Falcons are 18-6 ATS after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game, plus 38-13-1 ATS after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous contest. Atlanta is also 8-2-1 UNDER the total on the road and 13-3-1 UNDER against the NFC. Tampa Bay is a shaky young team with a rookie QB, off a 25-12 loss at the Colts. In their last two home games they've scored 10 and 18 points and the Buccaneers are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 home games. Tampa Bay is also 11-3 UNDER after a defeat and when these teams meet the UNDER is 5-2 on this grass field, while the Falcons are 4-1 ATS against Tampa. Take Atlanta and the UNDER.