Atlanta at Seattle

The Falcons are having a big year and at 11-2. They now control their own destiny to establish homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. They have rattled off seven straight wins despite remaining statistically below average on both sides of the ball in terms of yards per play. They are not turning the ball over, getting smart and clutch play from Matty Ice, and Michael Turner is running the ball efficiently. Defensively they are a bend, but they don't break defense and that has withheld enough to keep them winning. They rank in the bottom half of the league in yards allowed. Don't get me wrong. Atlanta is a solid team, but their stats don't indicate an 11-2 record. Seattle has struggled offensively, but the good news is that two of Hasselbeck's top two targets in Mike Williams and Ben Obumanu will be back for this one. It should help cut down on the mistakes he is forced into with having his top two recievers back in the lineup. Colin Cole was back on defense last week and it showed as the Niners ran for just 83 yards on 23 carries. Playing the team with the best record always gets the juices flowing for the home team. This is a huge game for Seattle as they are still alive for a home game in the first round of the playoffs. So, we should see a top effort here from the Seahawks. They have delivered an 8-3-2 ATS mark over their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Seattle has been victim to some bad luck lately losing the turnover battle 10-2 in their last three games. That kind of stuff tends to even out and if it does, they will perform better. I like Seattle with the points here. Important note: Remember to risk no more than 5% of your entire bankroll on any pick!