Atlanta at New Orleans

Remember the 2007 New England Patriots? That team steamrolled over opponents, scoring 35 points per game on way to the Super Bowl. The 2018 9-1 Saints are looking a lot like that team right now. New Orleans is putting up 37.8 points per game and have won and covered the spread in their last eight games. They toyed with the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles last week, winning 48-7 and out-gaining Philly 546-196. Drew Brees was 22-of-30 for 363 yards and four touchdowns and he now has 25 TD passes and just one interception this season. The Saints have now scored at least 40 points six times this year. Conversely, Atlanta lost in the final seconds to Dallas as Dak Prescott led a final drive that led to a game-winning field goal. The key play was a third-and-five and the Falcons decided on a three-man rush that backfired, as usual. Atlanta had come off a 28-16 loss to the lowly Browns and they now have a 4-6 record and are barely clinging to playoff hopes. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS their last seven meetings at New Orleans, who won the first meeting 43-37 in overtime. The Saints are 23-10 ATS their last 33 games versus division opponents and they feast on teams in shootout games. New Orleans is 10-1 ATS the past three seasons vs. teams like Atlanta that average 24+ points per game. Meanwhile, under Dan Quinn, the Falcons are atrocious vs. good passing teams. When facing teams that complete over 60% of their passes, the Falcons under Quinn are just 10-23 ATS. Good luck trying to contain Brees who is the most accurate passer of all time. When facing poor passing defenses, defined as allowing 260+ passing yards per game, the Sean-Payton led Saints are 16-4 ATS. Back the Saints in this one.