This pick was released to clients on January 04, 2024 at 12:56PM ET.
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Atlanta at New Orleans

January 7, 2024
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Atlanta will clinch the NFC South with a win plus a Tampa Bay loss. New Orleans can clinch it with a win plus a Tampa Bay loss or a tie plus a Tampa Bay loss. The Saints can earn a playoff berth with a win plus a Seattle loss or tie plus a Green Bay loss or tie OR a tie plus Seattle and Green Bay both losing. So easy to say a lot of things in play in this one. Atlanta is in an unexpected spot as it has lost six of nine and still can win the division. New Orleans is 5-10-1 ATS this season and just 2-5 ATS at home and the Saints lost to the Falcons 24-15 on Nov. 26. The Falcons are No. 8 in the league with 130.1 rushing yards per game and the Saints are No. 21 allowing 122.5 yards on the ground. New Orleans took advantage of four turnovers by Tampa Bay and beat the Buccaneers 23-13 last week, but the Saints are 5-16 ATS following an ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS after a straight-up win. Also, the Saints are 3-9-1 ATS their past 13 games as favorites and 3-7-1 ATS their past 11 games versus NFC South teams. Atlanta will pull out all the stops as it wasn't supposed to be in this situation anyway. Take the Falcons as a Max Play.

2 units on Atlanta +3.5 (-120) (risk 2 to return 3.67)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Atlanta Falcons
14
3
0
0
17
New Orleans Saints img
7
10
14
17
48
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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