This pick was released to clients on December 22, 2023 at 12:51PM ET.
img NFL

Atlanta at New Orleans

December 24, 2017
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a high total because of the quarterbacks, but the defenses are also very good. Atlanta won the NFC last season with loads of speed on defense and they are playing well in 2017. The Falcons' defense is ninth in yards allowed and points (20.1 points per game). They are in the rare role of underdog but have won five of the last six. They were a dog only one other time this season, at defending champion New England. Atlanta is 49-26 ATS on the road after allowing six or more yards per play in their previous contest. The Falcons are also 56-25-4 UNDER the total after allowing 90 or fewer rushing yards in their previous contest. New Orleans is much improved on defense at #11 in total yards allowed, and tied for ninth in points surrendered (20.1 ppg). These teams just met two weeks ago and Atlanta won a defensive game, 20-17, despite QB Matt Ryan throwing three picks. Atlanta had 132 yards rushing in that game while the Saints had just 50 yards rushing at 3.3 yards per carry and were 3-of-10 on third down. With the underdog 7-1 ATS when these division rivals clash, back the dog again in another defensive battle. Play Atlanta and the UNDER.

1 unit on Atlanta +6 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 52.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Atlanta Falcons
0
0
3
10
13
New Orleans Saints img
3
10
7
3
23
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 409,391 Subscribers!