New England went OVER in all four preseason games and the first four games of the regular season before finally recording two straight UNDERS in road games at Tampa Bay and the New York Jets. The Patriots still lead the league averaging 412.0 total offense yards and 309.8 passing yards per game. Atlanta is ranked fifth, averaging 378.4 yards of offense per contest. New England is dead last defensively allowing 440.7 yards per game and only two teams are giving up more points per game than the Patriots at 26.5. The Falcons might have been caught looking ahead to this Super Bowl rematch when they were upset by Miami last week as a 14-point favorite. Matt Ryan was 24-of-35 for 248 yards and a touchdown, but threw another crucial interception and now has as many touchdowns passes as interceptions this season. Atlanta's defense actually allowed Jay Cutler to have a decent day as he completed 19-of-33 for 151 yards and two TDs. Atlanta has gone OVER in eight of its last nine games against teams with winning records and eight of 10 after an ATS loss. Also, the Patriots have gone OVER in eight of their last 10 overall and they are 49-23 OVER their last 72 home games. Play the OVER.
This pick was released to clients on October 20, 2023 at 9:26AM ET.
NFL
Atlanta at New England
October 22, 2017
8:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 56 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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