This pick was released to clients on September 25, 2014 at 6:46PM ET.
img NFL

Atlanta at Minnesota

September 28, 2014
img4:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Atlanta Falcons have put up some strong offensive numbers early in the season as the offense has looked unstoppable, at least at home. The Falcons have generated 93 points in two home games, but just 10 in their only road contest. The Vikings' offense without Adrian Peterson has disappeared, as they have managed just 16 total points in the last two weeks. So, Atlanta is going likely going to have to put up a lot of points to get this one over the top. Minnesota has played well defensively where they rank #11 in fewest yards allowed, and allow just 18.7 points per game on the season, which places them #9 best in the league. I think that Atlanta will get over that, but the Minnesota offense not capable of taking advantage of weaknesses in the Falcon defense. The Falcons are 7-1 to the UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, and 42-17-3 to the UNDER after allowing fewer than 90 rushing yards. The last four meetings have failed to get to the total. Under Mike Smith, the Falcons are 13-5 to UNDER after a win over a division rival and 22-10 UNDER after a game in which they scored 30+ points. The UNDER gets the call in this one.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 47 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Atlanta Falcons
7
7
14
0
28
Minnesota Vikings img
14
10
3
14
41
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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