Atlanta at Minnesota

Minnesota won its fifth in a row 23-22 over Arizona, and Sam Darnold's dream season continued as he survived five sacks to throw two TD passes and no interceptions for the Vikings, who were outgained 406-273. The Vikings won last year's matchup with Atlanta 31-28, and it sailed OVER by nearly 20 points. The Falcons have lost three straight, allowing 24.2 points per game. Atlanta is #21 in total yards allowed with 342.9. Minnesota is 5-1-1 ATS its past seven games after yielding more than 250 passing yards in its previous game. Kirk Cousins was picked off four times in the Falcons' 17-14 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. Atlanta couldn't take advantage of several mistakes by the Chargers, including a fumble deep in their territory and a botched fake punt. The Falcons outgained the Chargers 350-187. Minnesota is #9 in the NFL, with an average of 24.8 points. Take the Vikings and the OVER.