This pick was released to clients on October 06, 2023 at 12:32PM ET.
img NFL

Atlanta at Houston

October 6, 2019
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Atlanta needs to protect Matt Ryan better after he threw for 397 yards against Tennessee, but was sacked five times, including twice on a fourth-down play. The Falcons outgained the Titans 422-365 and Ryan completed 35-of-53 passes. This week the Falcons will have to contain Houston QB Deshaun Watson and hopefully force some turnovers without committing any themselves in addition to giving Devonta Freeman some blocking after he gained only 28 yards on Sunday. The Texans are 1-13 ATS in Week 5 the last 14 years and the Falcons have covered 23 of their last 32 after scoring fewer than 15 points their previous game. Also, the Texans have not covered four of their last five home games dating to last season. Watson completed 21-of-33 for 160 yards against the Panthers with no touchdowns. Houston is 15-5 OVER its last 20 October games and Atlanta has gone OVER 17 of its last 21 on artificial turf. Play the Falcons for a Max Play and also take the OVER.

2 units on Atlanta +5 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 50 -109 (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Atlanta Falcons
7
10
0
15
32
Houston Texans img
7
9
17
20
53
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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