Atlanta at Detroit

After making the playoffs a year ago, the Detroit Lions have had a very frustrating season in 2012. They have fallen sharply from last season’s team, sitting at 4-10 this year. This is a team that has been riddled with injuries all season, and just didn't quite have the depth or luck to get anything to go their way. Anything and everything that could go wrong did. Don't get me wrong. This is a not a very good team, but their breaks have made it seem worse than it is. At 12-2 on the season, the Atlanta Falcons have had pretty much everything go their way so far. The bottom line is that these teams aren't as far apart as the records would make you think. Since week four, the Falcons have gone to battle with eight teams that had losing records at the time they played them. They lost two of them, and four others were all within 4 points when the final whistle blew. Detroit has seen their last four games at home vs. teams with a combined record of 40-16-1, with a net point differential of just -5. They played Seattle, Green Bay, Houston, and Indianapolis. Against these four teams, they were outscored by by a grand total of just 9 points - none of them by more than 4. The line is bigger than it should be after the Lions lost to Arizona 38-10 last week. This Lions team has been invested in every home game this season, and in it to win it every time. They will be up to make a statement against a 12-2 team. Take the points on Detroit.