Atlanta at Chicago

Atlanta has a shot at winning the NFC South, just one game behind Tampa Bay. The Falcons are Top 10 in the NFL in rushing and are sticking with QB Taylor Heinicke (4 TDs, one pick) after he helped lead them to a 29-10 win over the Colts. Atlanta's defense is sixth in the league in points given up (19.2 per game), ninth in yards allowed, and third on third down (33.66%). The Falcons are 13-4 ATS on the road in the second half of the season versus teams with a winning percentage between 40% to 49%. Chicago's defense is 21st in the NFL in points given up (23 per game) and 29th on third down (43.72%). They're in last place with two quarterbacks combining for 18 TDs, 15 picks, and 42 sacks. The Bears are 3-12 ATS after outrushing an opponent by 150+ yards in the last game. And NFL home teams with a winning percentage between 40% to 49% are 13-40 ATS after covering four of the last five when facing a losing team. Play Atlanta.