Atlanta at Carolina

For a 12-0 team, Carolina hasn't rolled over everybody. They beat the Colts in OT, needed a late comeback at Seattle to win by four, and beat the Saints by five and three points, including a squeaker last week, 41-38. They are back on natural grass this week, which will help the defense. And against a divisional opponent, the Panthers are 10-4 UNDER the total against the NFC South. Carolina is third in total defense, allowing an average of 314.3 yards per game. The Panthers are also 2-5 ATS after getting more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Carolina's last four games will be against clubs holding onto playoff hopes. Into town comes Atlanta, playing good defense but hungry for a win. Atlanta has allowed 23, 20, 24, 17, 23 and 7 the last six contests, along with an 8-0 run UNDER the total. Atlanta has enough offensive talent to keep this close with QB Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, who is the league leader with 1,338 receiving yards. The Falcons are 38-14-1 ATS after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, along with a 19-7-1 run UNDER the total. When these rivals clash the UNDER is 14-5-1 on this field and the dog is 5-1 ATS. Back Atlanta and the UNDER.